Building onĀ previous RTAC research, this working paper analyzes the impacts of climate change on future levels of poverty across various income scenarios and thresholds. Utilizing the International Futures (IFs) model, this paper draws on representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios that model alternative patterns of temperature change at a national level using established damage functions operationalized within the International Futures (IFs) tool. Based on findings, an RCP6.0 scenario projects that by 2100, more than 31 percent of the world population will be living in extreme poverty due to climate change, another 28 percent are projected to be living in poverty, and another 22 percent in moderate poverty.
Please note that USAID’s Research Technical Assistance Center (RTAC) has concluded. The RTAC website will be decommissioned in the next few months. Some materials will be transferred to the NORC website and the USAID Learning Lab website in the coming weeks. However, we recommend downloading any materials you would like to preserve at this time.
If you have any questions about RTAC, or the materials created through RTAC, please email miller-sutherland@norc.org.